Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.116008 1.261049 1.419725 1.606512 1.820769 2.059308 2.345632
2024-12-22 0.879830 1.071727 1.299688 1.591762 1.957906 2.404133 2.992829
2024-12-29 0.762155 0.975602 1.243435 1.606766 2.090724 2.718662 3.604020
2025-01-05 0.665008 0.885556 1.174699 1.585472 2.160404 2.945932 4.116658
2025-01-12 0.594286 0.818545 1.123816 1.575173 2.234790 3.177917 4.654546
2025-01-19 0.519501 0.736189 1.040682 1.506471 2.212876 3.263367 4.980343
2025-01-26 0.484241 0.705303 1.025644 1.532179 2.328782 3.560214 5.660872
2025-02-02 0.455137 0.679872 1.014922 1.561283 2.450199 3.875405 6.407331
2025-02-09 0.425640 0.650610 0.994829 1.572249 2.541644 4.149517 7.116667
2025-02-16 0.398971 0.623028 0.974242 1.579220 2.625345 4.417160 7.845914
2025-02-23 0.380003 0.605814 0.968179 1.608701 2.748833 4.764499 8.762972
2025-03-02 0.350738 0.569230 0.927039 1.573869 2.754710 4.901190 9.296722
2025-03-09 0.336424 0.556885 0.926132 1.610532 2.895805 5.306290 10.423310
2025-03-16 0.313751 0.528509 0.895452 1.590905 2.930432 5.514343 11.181272
2025-03-23 0.298927 0.512460 0.884721 1.606337 3.032500 5.863729 12.284662
2025-03-30 0.279987 0.487586 0.856076 1.585011 3.059520 6.064060 13.089729
2025-04-06 0.264326 0.467422 0.834326 1.574719 3.107130 6.311357 14.035841
2025-04-13 0.242260 0.433894 0.785209 1.506038 3.026922 6.276993 14.316851
2025-04-20 0.234070 0.425691 0.783236 1.531738 3.148243 6.695344 15.751531
2025-04-27 0.226831 0.418729 0.783023 1.560833 3.279637 7.151348 17.352013
2025-05-04 0.217986 0.408013 0.774589 1.571795 3.371746 7.527434 18.806882
2025-05-11 0.209317 0.397025 0.764750 1.578764 3.455304 7.892870 20.292690
2025-05-18 0.203536 0.391377 0.765260 1.608235 3.594003 8.408730 22.279143